Baseline migration: Net migration rates for 2016-2030 are set to the level and age profile observed during 2010-2015.
Zero migration: All net migration rates for 2016-2030 are set to zero.
Low migration: For a given population cell (country, sex and origin), net migration rates by age for 2016-2030 are set to the baseline level, minus 30% of the absolute value of the total net migration rate of the cell.
High migration: For a given population cell (country, sex and origin), net migration rates by age for 2016-2030 are set to the baseline level, plus 30% of the absolute value of the total net migration rate of the cell.
Baseline education: The distribution of education observed in 2015 is kept constant for all categories for 2016-2030, although the whole distribution is aged over time, as described above.
Low trend education: The share of tertiary-educated among people aged 30-34 increases by 6 percentage points between 2015 and 2030.
Medium trend education: The share of tertiary-educated among people aged 30-34 increases by 9 percentage points between 2015 and 2030.
High trend education: The share of tertiary-educated among people aged 30-34 increases by 12 percentage points between 2015 and 2030.
Baseline labour force participation: The labour force participation rates observed in 2015, which are disaggregated by 5-year age group, gender, educational attainment and place of birth, are assumed to remain constant until 2030.
Gender convergence: The participation gap between men and women is reduced for each group over the period 2015-2030 until it reaches zero in 2030, by increasing the labour force participation rate of women when it is lower than that of men.
Origin convergence: The participation gap between native-born and immigrants is reduced for each group over the period 2015-2030 until it reaches zero in 2030, by increasing the labour force participation rate of immigrants when it is lower than that of natives.
Gender and origin convergence: This scenario combines the two variants outlined above, thus allowing to set both the gender gap and the gap between native-born and immigrants to zero by 2030.
Funded by the European Union Programme for Employment and Social Innovation "EaSI" (2014-2020)